In the NFC, only one team can clinch a playoff berth in Week 13. In the AFC, several can punch their tickets into the six-team field. The AFC playoff picture for Week 13:
Anybody leading a division in the AFC right now is looking very, very good. Houston is up three games on Indianapolis in the AFC South, Baltimore is up three games on Cincinnati and Pittsburgh in the North, New England is up three games on Miami in the East, and Denver is up four games on San Diego in the West. Though not all will officially wrap things up this week, it is highly unlikely that any of those four teams will not win their respective divisions.
The only battle in the AFC playoff picture is for the wild card, and Indianapolis did themselves a huge favor by winning when a lot of other teams lost. The Colts are in good shape right now, whereas the Ben-less Steelers are not. Had they won as well, they’d have given themselves some separation from the Bengals, but now they have none (but are in on the tiebreaker). Miami’s win was also crucial as they’re the second team out right now, as opposed to being somewhere in the 4-7 AFC muddle.
Those 4-7 teams are only two games out, but not one of them is playing well. If you want to consider the Colts as being on their way in the playoffs and the division leaders as safe, you essentially have three teams fighting for one AFC playoff spot.
Week 13 AFC Clinching Scenarios
The Texans can clinch an AFC playoff berth with one of the following:
(1) A win or tie
(2) A Pittsburgh loss or tie & Miami loss or tie
(3) A Cincinnati loss or tie & Miami loss or tie
(4) A Pittsburgh loss & Cincinnati loss
The Ravens can clinch the AFC North with the following:
(1) A win & Cincinnati loss
The Ravens can clinch an AFC playoff berth with one of the following:
(1) A win
(2) A tie & Cincinnati loss & Miami loss or tie
The Patriots can clinch the AFC East with the following:
(1) A win
The Broncos can clinch the AFC West with one of the following:
(1) A win
(2) A tie & San Diego loss or tie
(3) A San Diego loss